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Bush to Ditch START Framework
Share / Recommend - Comment - Print - Wednesday, May 23 2007, 12:57PM
Steve hosted a really interesting reception last night on the USS Sequoia for people interested in U.S.-Cuba policy.
I managed to get past my characteristic awkwardness in DC-style networking situations and it paid off, as I met some very smart and passionate individuals. There was a palpable sense of optimism at the event: many believe that the current U.S. policy toward Cuba, a cold war relic whose life has been extended by small-minded politics, is on its last legs.
The stories about the history of the Sequoia, the former Presidential yacht, probably would have made the night worthwhile on their own.
No time to dwell on sentiment, though. It appears the Bush Administration is getting ready to scrap an extremely effective arms control regime and replace it with something much skinnier. The rationale? From Reuters:
In the post-Cold war era, many provisions of the 1991 START accord, which mandated deep nuclear weapons cuts, "are no longer necessary. We don't believe we're in a place where we need have to have the detailed lists (of weapons) and verification measures," added [Asst. Secretary of State Paula] DeSutter, who handles arms control and verification issues.Russia wants something binding, like the current START agreement. That seems like the right way to go.
Even if all were well in the U.S.-Russia relationship, going ahead without a binding arms control regime of this kind would still be an ill-advised move. The START agreement has greatly enhanced U.S., Russian, and international security during its lifespan.
Besides, all is not well in the U.S.-Russia relationship. A few years ago, the U.S. had an opportunity to stop the anti-democratic regression in Russia as a powerful friend and respected example. Now, its image tarnished and its influence damaged, the Bush Administration seems content to trade barbs with Russia from afar. The result of this gross negligence? Russia is growing less democratic and more hostile to the U.S. by the day.
It doesn't help that the U.S. is pushing missile defense systems in Europe. Russia withdrew from a key arms control treaty last month for precisely this reason.
Obviously, President Bush is no fan of multilateral treaties (the Law of the Sea is a notable and worthy exception). That's the big problem.
But there are "local considerations," too. The direction of the U.S.-Russia relationship is largely in American hands, and agreeing to a new arms control regime to replace START would be a step in the right direction.
-- Scott Paul
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Reader Comments (5) - post a comment
Would be interesting to know what the current default Russian targeting solutions look like. Ditto for the US. Any open source material available?
Ah Scott..you aren't awkward...we think you are pretty "sauve" verbally... except for the "cooky" thing.
But I agree with you about Russia....if I could choose anyone to be allies with (other than old Europe) it would be Russia. We are missing a golden opportunity there..it would solve many of our problems.
Disturbing to say the least. At a time when the Russians are COMPLETELY freaking out (to use the technical term) about US plans to locate missile defense installations in eastern Europe, we're looking to ditch the START framework.
And then we wonder why they're reacting hostilely to us.
The all or nothing choice is likely more attractive than the prospect of facing a war trials tribunal after a further erosion of power. Hitler made pretty much the same choice.
Hopefully no one on this list has any wonder of why the rest of the world is acting hostilely towards us, although just as the Germans in the early 1940's, a significant number of US citizens may either be sticking their heads in the sand or actually refuse to believe the extent of US criminality.
Breaking all the treaties is a big mistake, because Russia has lots of potential. Russia has also the missing rocket technology, which America doesn't have.
What would be the supply if the Russians would deploy their shield in Cuba and tell their US counterparts we do this to protect you against rockets fired from Iran - which Iran will never do anyway?





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